Showing posts with label domestic product. Show all posts
Showing posts with label domestic product. Show all posts

Jun 5, 2013

Why invest in commodities? How to invest in commodities?
















Historically, the process of building investment portfolios has focused on two asset classes: stocks and bonds, although in recent years investors have become increasingly interested in finding non-traditional assets with potential to increase performance, smooth volatility, or both if possible.
Thus the interest in raw materials, in particular, has increased as investors have found exposure to natural resource prices a "third asset class" with which optimize traditional portfolios of stocks and bonds .
The great returns generated by the asset class historically may serve as further evidence of the enormous potential of raw materials . However, the raw materials are complex assets and options that investors have access to this asset class are often complicated and difficult to understand. On the other hand there is a universe of possibilities in raw materials, with dozens of families and specific assets, many of which risk profiles / return drastically different.
Commodities are risky assets , but the understanding of the components of the prices and details of investment vehicles that offer exposure to these resources can lead investors to this asset class used efficiently and as a vehicle investment.
The classification as a commodity focuses on the concept of fungibility, which means that the products are treated as equivalent or exchangeable for end users and financial investors alike. In essence, the fungibility requires standardized identical physical properties, being similar consumables regardless of where they occur or where they are. Gold is perhaps the best example: a bar of gold in London is the same as a bar stocked in New York and Singapore. Light, sweet crude oil is light sweet crude oil, regardless of whether they reside in a tanker in the middle of the Atlantic or a pipeline in Louisiana.
The possibility of exchange is a fundamental concept in commodity markets and standardizing the market and enables investors worldwide market large volumes of goods daily.
The possibility of exchange with respect to raw materials simplifies the valuation of these assets significantly, prices of commodities are derived from the supply and demand only. Of course, predict and understand the factors of supply and demand is not easy, but the pricing equation in the raw materials is extremely simple.
Market segmentation Product: forking raw materials in soft commodities and hard commodities. Soft commodities grown in plants or trees as extracted from the soil hard. Soft Commodities are many agricultural resources such as corn, wheat, sugar, cattle and soybeans. Hard Products include industrial and precious metals such as gold, copper, nickel, silver, platinum, and zinc. Also falls under the classification "hard" petroleum products such as oil and natural gas Brent or WTI.
A more detailed commodity is to segment the market into product families that generally have similar physical properties and uses. The six major product families include:
  1. Precious Metals: Gold, silver, platinum and palladium all fall under this category.
  2. Industrial Metals: This category includes metals that are generally less expensive than precious metals and more used in sectors such as construction and industry
  3. Agricultural products: This category includes natural resources that are frequently used for human consumption, including corn, wheat and soybeans.
  4. Livestock: This category includes animals, livestock generally much beef as pork.
  5. Energy: Raw materials related to energy production are among the most actively traded, this category includes crude oil in its two variables Brent and WTI, natural gas, and other mixtures and derivatives such as gasoline, diesel and furnace oil .
  6. Perishable: In this category, sometimes grouped with other agricultural products include coffee, cotton, sugar, cocoa and orange juice.

commodity types

Why invest in commodities?

Commodities are assets that have unique and cash flows associated with the underlying asset: a gold bar will never generate cash or make a dividend payment, and a wheat field never made a coupon payment or repayment on investment.
The appeal of raw materials is the ability of the asset class of smoothing overall portfolio volatility and protecting against certain adverse economic environments with low probability but high impact event in returns. inversely Adding assets correlated to a portfolio has the effect of smoothing the overall volatility, since it is unlikely that these components move in the same direction simultaneously. Thus mainstream appeal of the products lies in the correlation or lack thereof to traditional asset classes like stocks and bonds with the consequent potential to reduce overall risk.
Of course at the expense of reduced volatility of returns is not the desire of an investor, although there is evidence to suggest that the raw materials have historically delivered appreciation while overall lower volatility. in other words, the raw materials can provide the best of both worlds when it comes to asset allocation strategies.
The inflation coverage is a major concern for all investors, especially those living on fixed incomes, as the rise in prices erodes the purchasing power of existing wealth yields and eats all kinds of assets. On this side another attractive aspect of the raw materials is the ability of the asset class to act as a hedge against inflation due to the appreciation in value when inflation kicks in, which offset losses elsewhere (dividends, coupons, interest, rents) of the portfolio as a result of a general price increase. Inflation is an increase in prices, and as such, usually include an increase in raw material prices that are inputs into goods and manufacturing processes. In other words, inflation probably will not happen unless the prices of raw materials, including oil, metals and agricultural products become more expensive.
On the other side the raw materials can also function as a commitment to the maintenance of world economic growth, and in particular the expansion of emerging economies. Developing economies to supply rapidly urbanizing migration of rural populations to the cities, so it motivates the demand for raw materials to build infrastructure, to feed growing populations, and serve the consumer goods manufacturing. For those who believe that these demographic trends are favorable to increased demand for natural resources, investment in raw materials could be an optimal way to gain exposure to this investment thesis.

How to invest in commodities?

There are four main options for investors seeking exposure to commodities, each of which has advantages and potential disadvantages:
  1. Physical exposure: The most basic way of achieving exposure simply involves purchasing and storage of the goods desired. This method ensures the investor exposure to changes in the spot price of raw materials. Unfortunately, physical exposure only makes sense for products that exhibit certain physical standards and involves the maintenance of a sufficient value to weight ratio to keep storage costs to a reasonable level. The storage of gold coins in a safe is one thing, but trying to get physical exposure to crude oil or livestock presents a number of logistical and cost barriers that hinder investment opportunities.
  2. Futures Contracts: Developed in the futures markets allow investors to gain exposure to commodity prices through financial contracts with natural resources as underlying assets. While this method simplifies the investment process, it also introduces additional risk factors as the return of such assets derived not only depends on changes in spot prices, but also the slope of the futures curve and the current level of interest rates, and leverage suppose what some investors may feel uncomfortable or even limited by regulation. Futures are contracts created as a hedging tool for producers and traders of raw materials, but speculators have used as an investment vehicle at the same time.
  3. Shares: shares in companies engaged in the production or extraction of raw materials. Because the profitability of these companies usually depends on the market price of their products, their perspectives tend to improve with increasing prices of raw materials in question and vice versa.
  4. ETCs: Investment Vehicles listed on a stock exchange and traded like stocks that allow investors to gain exposure to commodities individually, sectoral or global. These exchange-traded commodities for benefiting from all the qualities I have outlined above, taking into account certain risks common to futures contracts, as such ETCs replicate indices whose constituents are commodity futures in question.
Below I discuss some tables with cumulative returns for different periods of time, the correlations with key benchmark stock indexes, volatility and Sharpe ratio for each of the reference materials used as ETF Securities ETCs.
 

Precious Metals

ETFS Precious Metals

Industrial Metals

ETFS Industrial Metals

Agriculture

ETFS Agriculture

Energy

ETFS Energy

Jun 2, 2013

Redemption Mortgage or leave the money on deposit?



















This question always comes up in every discussion forums and in all conversations. In this blog will have generated enough comments like: 'I lack to pay 130,000 euros of mortgage and I have 40,000 in a deposit. What do I do with the savings? Amortized mortgage or leave it in the tank I might be giving interests?

The response itself is quite simple but you have to consider several factors. Not everything is to achieve maximum profitability.

If the 40,000 we have them in a tank get 4.5% APR 1422 after tax per year in interest.

If amortize mortgage until 9040 the maximum possible for us desgravamos holder a maximum of 15%, ie 1356 per year. But if the ownership of the mortgage there are two people you can deduct twice, 18.080 euros. With 15% return we will get 2712 euros hacienda.
 

amortizar_hipoteca


 
The tariff includes fee, interest and principal. Therefore, if we pay a mortgage of 500 euros a month is 6000 a year and we should (in case of sole holder of the mortgage) repay to the maximum of 9040, ie add 3040 euros extra. Looking at it another way, we will have a deposit of 15% per year 9040.

If our mortgage fee is 850 euros per month 10,200 annual pay, therefore you should not write off anything because you spend the maximum in 1160, and in this case if you should leave the deposit at 4.5% APR and you probably have higher interest than you are paying for the mortgage.

If mortgage paid 650 euros a month (€ 7,800 per year) but we are two holders (my partner and I) we can deduct a maximum of 18,080 euros per year. That is, at the end of the fiscal year, in December, we'll add 10,280 euros to get the most and so will be like you have a deposit of 18,080 euros to 15% APR.

So much for the options to be financially profitable. But keep in mind that it is often better to pay a little more and have liquidity savings will run out sooner repay. I guess there are all kinds mentalities and before doing anything better inquire as to what may be the best option.

In case you want to ever repay mortgage amortized time and capital, since we got rid of shortening the time and lowering interest fee we will reduce some of the money to pay monthly but will also be paying interest to the bank.

Anyway people to purchase a residence from January 1, 2013 will no longer be tax deductible anything, so that 15% is canceled. In that scenario have the money saved to a good interest monetized over paid on the mortgage will be most profitable.

Difference between active and passive




















Of all the definitions of assets and liabilities are only have to stay with the most important, and you have to remember forever.

An asset is something, an investment that puts money in your pocket. However slightly.

A liability is something that takes away the money from his pocket. An expense.

Do not confuse these two concepts as there are many people who think that the house where he lives is an asset and a good investment and nothing is further from reality. A commonly used house is a liability because it does not receive any income from it, and will only be active if one day we decided to sell it to cash, and keep the money.
 

activo-pasivo-dinero-bolsillo

While the home where you live "cost you" money as much as your expectations make you think that in ten years you will get high returns are sitting on a pile of bricks and not on an investment.

Could encompass how active an investment in stock , bonds , a house to rent a bank deposit ...

And conversely a liability would be for example the commonly used home, second homes, a car and all that to make ends meet instead of giving money taketh away.

Spain is deeply rooted in the idea of ​​buying a flat / house and think it's an investment, "a piggy bank" for the future in case of contingencies or just spend the feel you're going to have a possession to be worth tens of thousands euros and you feel you've "invested" or you're going to invest the money.

And you have to be very careful as always not buy is more profitable than renting . The other day I read that 80% of people who have a mortgage for 5-10 years ago is paying more than it is actually worth your floor. And that's not an investment. It is a liability how a house never better.

From the moment you decide to live financially in an efficient manner have an obligation to be creating assets and go slowly getting rid of liabilities that have made ​​previously, and we saw what is the best way to start eliminating debt .

A monthly savings combined with any investment, simple or complicated, and applied over time with compound interest is the best way to create quality assets that slowly but gradually will be putting money in your pocket.

And you've started to build assets? We invite you to tell us what is your strategy to get more and more in his pocket.

May 30, 2013

The U.S. economy grew 2.4% in the first quarter
















Washington, May 30 (Thomson Financial). - The U.S. economy grew at an annual rate of 2.4% in the first quarter, a tenth less than originally planned, as a result of public spending cuts approved by Congress, especially on defense. However, Commerce Department data released today highlight that consumer spending rebounded in the first three months of the year at a rate of 3.4%, the highest in the past two years. The data is particularly significant in an economy like the U.S., where private consumption accounts for almost 70% of the total Gross Domestic Product (GDP). In its first estimate, the federal agency had estimated GDP growth at 2.5% for the period between January and February. In this way, the U.S. economy recorded over two years of sustained growth, despite its still palpable warmth accelerates its expansion over the last quarter of 2012, when it expanded 0.4%. The U.S. trade balance data also showed positive, with an increase in exports of goods and services by 0.8% compared with a fall of 2.8% reported for the fourth quarter of 2012, and imports which grew by only 1.9 % compared with a decrease of 4.2% in the previous period. Also, the real estate sector seems to consolidate its recovery from the 2008 crisis, and residential fixed investment grew at a rate of 12.1%. As a brake on economic growth, in contrast, behaved steep spending cuts amounting to 85,000 million approved last March to the end of the fiscal year in September 2013. Government spending fell 4.9% compared to 4.1% forecast in the first of three official estimates, with special emphasis on the defense sector which fell by 12.1%, compared with 11, estimated 5% previously. Without these cuts, the U.S. economic growth would have been 3.4% in the quarter. Meanwhile, prices remained controlled behavior, registering a growth of 1% in the annual adjusted, down from 1.6% at the end of last year, let alone the 2% threshold marked by the Federal Reserve ( Fed) U.S.. Although the data show some optimism about the U.S. economic discourse, the truth is that it is too weak to continue lowering the high unemployment rate in the country, which remains a major concern of citizens and which closed April in a 7.5%. In a parallel data released today, the figure weekly esempleo subsidy claims in the U.S. rose by 10,000 and stood at 354,000 last week. Experts valued the good performance of the economy in the context of sharp cuts in public spending, but said that is unlikely to affect the aggressive monetary stimulus policy implemented by the Fed to stimulate growth. In a recent appearance before the Joint Economic Committee of Congress, the Fed chairman, Ben Bernanke, stated that the policy stimulus including interest rates between 0% and 0.25% and monthly program billionaire bond buying is changed unless finding an economic expansion "continuous and sustainable." The third and final data on U.S. GDP will be released on June 26. MarketWatch
Washington, May 30 (Thomson Financial). - The U.S. economy grew at an annual rate of 2.4% in the first quarter, a tenth less than originally planned, as a result of public spending cuts approved by Congress, especially on defense. However, Commerce Department data released today highlight that consumer spending rebounded in the first three months of the year at a rate of 3.4%, the highest in the past two years. The data is particularly significant in an economy like the U.S., where private consumption accounts for almost 70% of the total Gross Domestic Product (GDP). In its first estimate, the federal agency had estimated GDP growth at 2.5% for the period between January and February. In this way, the U.S. economy recorded over two years of sustained growth, despite its still palpable warmth accelerates its expansion over the last quarter of 2012, when it expanded 0.4%. The U.S. trade balance data also showed positive, with an increase in exports of goods and services by 0.8% compared with a fall of 2.8% reported for the fourth quarter of 2012, and imports which grew by only 1.9 % compared with a decrease of 4.2% in the previous period. Also, the real estate sector seems to consolidate its recovery from the 2008 crisis, and residential fixed investment grew at a rate of 12.1%. As a brake on economic growth, in contrast, behaved steep spending cuts amounting to 85,000 million approved last March to the end of the fiscal year in September 2013. Government spending fell 4.9% compared to 4.1% forecast in the first of three official estimates, with special emphasis on the defense sector which fell by 12.1%, compared with 11, estimated 5% previously. Without these cuts, the U.S. economic growth would have been 3.4% in the quarter. Meanwhile, prices remained controlled behavior, registering a growth of 1% in the annual adjusted, down from 1.6% at the end of last year, let alone the 2% threshold marked by the Federal Reserve ( Fed) U.S.. Although the data show some optimism about the U.S. economic discourse, the truth is that it is too weak to continue lowering the high unemployment rate in the country, which remains a major concern of citizens and which closed April in a 7.5%. In a parallel data released today, the figure weekly esempleo subsidy claims in the U.S. rose by 10,000 and stood at 354,000 last week. Experts valued the good performance of the economy in the context of sharp cuts in public spending, but said that is unlikely to affect the aggressive monetary stimulus policy implemented by the Fed to stimulate growth. In a recent appearance before the Joint Economic Committee of Congress, the Fed chairman, Ben Bernanke, stated that the policy stimulus including interest rates between 0% and 0.25% and monthly program billionaire bond buying is changed unless finding an economic expansion "continuous and sustainable." The third and final data on U.S. GDP will be released on June 26. MarketWatch

The U.S. economy grew 2.4% in the first quarter - Expansion.com
Washington, May 30 (Thomson Financial). - The U.S. economy grew at an annual rate of 2.4% in the first quarter, a tenth less than originally planned, as a result of public spending cuts approved by Congress, especially on defense. However, Commerce Department data released today highlight that consumer spending rebounded in the first three months of the year at a rate of 3.4%, the highest in the past two years. The data is particularly significant in an economy like the U.S., where private consumption accounts for almost 70% of the total Gross Domestic Product (GDP). In its first estimate, the federal agency had estimated GDP growth at 2.5% for the period between January and February. In this way, the U.S. economy recorded over two years of sustained growth, despite its still palpable warmth accelerates its expansion over the last quarter of 2012, when it expanded 0.4%. The U.S. trade balance data also showed positive, with an increase in exports of goods and services by 0.8% compared with a fall of 2.8% reported for the fourth quarter of 2012, and imports which grew by only 1.9 % compared with a decrease of 4.2% in the previous period. Also, the real estate sector seems to consolidate its recovery from the 2008 crisis, and residential fixed investment grew at a rate of 12.1%. As a brake on economic growth, in contrast, behaved steep spending cuts amounting to 85,000 million approved last March to the end of the fiscal year in September 2013. Government spending fell 4.9% compared to 4.1% forecast in the first of three official estimates, with special emphasis on the defense sector which fell by 12.1%, compared with 11, estimated 5% previously. Without these cuts, the U.S. economic growth would have been 3.4% in the quarter. Meanwhile, prices remained controlled behavior, registering a growth of 1% in the annual adjusted, down from 1.6% at the end of last year, let alone the 2% threshold marked by the Federal Reserve ( Fed) U.S.. Although the data show some optimism about the U.S. economic discourse, the truth is that it is too weak to continue lowering the high unemployment rate in the country, which remains a major concern of citizens and which closed April in a 7.5%. In a parallel data released today, the figure weekly esempleo subsidy claims in the U.S. rose by 10,000 and stood at 354,000 last week. Experts valued the good performance of the economy in the context of sharp cuts in public spending, but said that is unlikely to affect the aggressive monetary stimulus policy implemented by the Fed to stimulate growth. In a recent appearance before the Joint Economic Committee of Congress, the Fed chairman, Ben Bernanke, stated that the policy stimulus including interest rates between 0% and 0.25% and monthly program billionaire bond buying is changed unless finding an economic expansion "continuous and sustainable." The third and final data on U.S. GDP will be released on June 26. MarketWatch

The U.S. economy grew 2.4% in the first quarter - Expansion.com
Washington, May 30 (Thomson Financial). - The U.S. economy grew at an annual rate of 2.4% in the first quarter, a tenth less than originally planned, as a result of public spending cuts approved by Congress, especially on defense. However, Commerce Department data released today highlight that consumer spending rebounded in the first three months of the year at a rate of 3.4%, the highest in the past two years. The data is particularly significant in an economy like the U.S., where private consumption accounts for almost 70% of the total Gross Domestic Product (GDP). In its first estimate, the federal agency had estimated GDP growth at 2.5% for the period between January and February. In this way, the U.S. economy recorded over two years of sustained growth, despite its still palpable warmth accelerates its expansion over the last quarter of 2012, when it expanded 0.4%. The U.S. trade balance data also showed positive, with an increase in exports of goods and services by 0.8% compared with a fall of 2.8% reported for the fourth quarter of 2012, and imports which grew by only 1.9 % compared with a decrease of 4.2% in the previous period. Also, the real estate sector seems to consolidate its recovery from the 2008 crisis, and residential fixed investment grew at a rate of 12.1%. As a brake on economic growth, in contrast, behaved steep spending cuts amounting to 85,000 million approved last March to the end of the fiscal year in September 2013. Government spending fell 4.9% compared to 4.1% forecast in the first of three official estimates, with special emphasis on the defense sector which fell by 12.1%, compared with 11, estimated 5% previously. Without these cuts, the U.S. economic growth would have been 3.4% in the quarter. Meanwhile, prices remained controlled behavior, registering a growth of 1% in the annual adjusted, down from 1.6% at the end of last year, let alone the 2% threshold marked by the Federal Reserve ( Fed) U.S.. Although the data show some optimism about the U.S. economic discourse, the truth is that it is too weak to continue lowering the high unemployment rate in the country, which remains a major concern of citizens and which closed April in a 7.5%. In a parallel data released today, the figure weekly esempleo subsidy claims in the U.S. rose by 10,000 and stood at 354,000 last week. Experts valued the good performance of the economy in the context of sharp cuts in public spending, but said that is unlikely to affect the aggressive monetary stimulus policy implemented by the Fed to stimulate growth. In a recent appearance before the Joint Economic Committee of Congress, the Fed chairman, Ben Bernanke, stated that the policy stimulus including interest rates between 0% and 0.25% and monthly program billionaire bond buying is changed unless finding an economic expansion "continuous and sustainable." The third and final data on U.S. GDP will be released on June 26. MarketWatch

The U.S. economy grew 2.4% in the first quarter - Expansion.com