Showing posts with label instability. Show all posts
Showing posts with label instability. Show all posts

May 31, 2013

The role of hedge funds: inequality and financial instability





Hedge funds known as hedge funds or hedge funds, are a type of mutual funds that are not only subject to regulation, and that because of it have played a crucial role in virtually every financial crisis since the nineties . Due to its relative complexity are completely unknown to most people. A population that is, paradoxically, the main affected by the performance of these financial institutions. To prevent that remains so in this article I will try to shed enough light, of course following the usual teaching style, in the murky world of hedge funds.
The performance of mutual funds is collecting money from many sources (individuals, corporate savings or other funds) and investment thereof in any financial product (shares, for example). After a time, when there has been a benefit and money has appreciated, the fund returns to owners past the nominal (money) plus interest, keeping the bank with an important commission.
Origin
The first recognized hedge fund was established in 1949 in the U.S., but its most important expansion took place from the second half of the nineties. Hedge funds differ from other mutual funds precisely in their aggressiveness and risk exposure. On the one hand have no regulatory limitations of any kind, and on the other hand tend to maintain very high leverage positions (operations with borrowed funds, such loans). This means that any fund can perform operations with no money but with so much borrowed money as you want. In case of profit profitability is much higher, but in case of loss the problem is also serious and very contagious (defaults follow each other).
Hedge funds are also managed by professionals who largely turn their profits as investment in the same hedge funds, more intense commitment to the future of the fund. As a result of all these features hedge funds usually yield high levels of profitability.
How and where is made ​​a hedge fund
Hedge funds are managed by professionals and have very high entry barriers for investors, in many cases reaching the million dollars, but in any case depends on the specific regulation of the territory in which it is constituted. These barriers to entry are very high also precisely because of the high risk associated with financial transactions undertaken by hedge funds. Regulators seek to protect small investors and believe the best way is by raising the barriers, while more liberal from orbit is considered to be lower these barriers to involve the largest population possible benefit of hedge funds.
Hedge funds therefore have a minimum of stakeholders: investors, managers and companies that offer services. As investors are currently most other mutual funds (including other hedge funds), transnational corporations and millionaires course.
 

Also, the location is usually territory other than the territory of management. Indeed, 60% of hedge funds in 2010 were located in tax havens (in fact 37% of all hedge funds are in the Cayman Islands and 27% in Delaware, ie United States). The constitution in a tax return also increases because it reduces transaction costs (interest, records, etc..). In terms of managing 80% is on American soil (ie 41% is in New York), and most of the rest is in London. Hedge funds have Anglo flavor.
But banks also have flavor. Because the managers of these funds are logically banks, plus they are also those who offer specialized services to hedge funds. And as all this is a business statistics increasingly concentrated, precisely because of the crisis.
 

In short, like any mutual fund, the purpose of a hedge fund is to highlight the money deposited by investors, and for that we go to all financial markets (stocks, corporate bonds, government bonds, futures, etc..) Seeking returns. The aim is to speculate, and that almost anything goes.
Hedge Fund Strategies
The strategies used by hedge funds can vary between each other, but all seek to "exploit" the opportunities of making profits in the financial markets. And all are, in a sense, gambling. They are usually complex strategies, but sometimes can be as simple as a bet that interest rates of private bonds and government bonds are converging [1]. The usual way of hedge funds bet is to alternate short positions with long positions.
Taking a short position (short) means that the bet is "to think that the price will go down." For example, a hedge fund may sell their shares today and buy tomorrow when they have fallen. As today sells more expensive than you buy tomorrow's benefit. A naked short position (naked short) is the same but in case you are selling something that does not have [2]. For example, we sell at today's prices to deliver after tomorrow and hope that tomorrow is worth much less. Bought and delivered tomorrow after tomorrow, making the profit.
A long position is betting that "the price will go up", which is what we are accustomed. If you combine both positions in different markets can increase profits. For example, the sale we did in the short position will receive money that we invest as a long position. Money Never Sleeps.
History: hedge funds, crises and speculation
The most famous case of a hedge fund is that of Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM), managed by a team of professionals that included two Nobel laureates in economics, and its investors had even central banks. The net returns were from 42.8% in 1995, from 40.8% in 1996 and 17'1% in 1997, and the leverage was 30-1 (VilariƱo, 2000). In 1998 the risky and complex hedge fund operations clashed with the Russian debt default and the losses were very severe. Finally the action of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, who pressed a set of large investors to save the bank, prevented greater evils.
But other cases are also spectacular and also reflect the sign of the times. The first thing worth pointing is that of George Soros, who used his hedge fund to speculate against sterling. First George Soros borrowed 15,000 million pounds, and stealthily changed dollars. The purpose of short-Soros was betting with pounds, ie bet that lose value. When he was all prepared and wanted to attack it managed to make it very sounded: summoned the media and announced that he was convinced that the pound would fall. Then sold off their pounds borrowed and sent the signal to the market and the pound fell really (indeed, the sell-off, coupled with the fear of the other holders of pounds, has laid). The British government responded with all its weapons of monetary policy, but after spending more than 50,000 million dollars had to surrender: speculators had expired. With the pound on the floor Soros bought 15,000 million pounds (now worth fewer dollars) and the back (it was a loan). The gains were huge, and teaching more: a speculator, one, could sink an entire country [3].
The Asian crisis of the nineties gives many more examples of this, and the recent debt crisis even more. It teaches us that a few speculators, counted on the fingers but managing huge amounts of money, can bring down countries and set economic policies themselves.
Profitability and current developments
For all, hedge funds receive higher returns in scrambled scenes, as there is nothing worse for a mutual fund that the non-existence of space to speculate. However, widespread uncertainty scenarios or collective crisis can also be its own grave. Also, as I said before, the spread can be huge losses due to the leverage situation. Therefore, depending on which sectors and financial markets suffer losses suffer much hedge funds.
And the crisis was primed with hedge funds in 2008, as many of them had participated in toxic financial assets or had investments in mutual funds that had done so. The case of the investment bank Bear Stearns is representative, since in 2008 he had to respond to losses in two hedge funds managed (offshore) and that made him finally sinking. It was sold at a bargain price to JP Morgan [4].
But bailouts hedge funds could breathe easy again. And again they make profits and continue their speculative activity. Just look at the chart I made with TheCityUK data.
 

The hedge fund business is back up, and that's precisely what the data show not only profitability but also the data of assets managed by it. Without reach even 2007 levels, pre-crisis levels, the hedge fund space have recovered rapidly.
 

And ultimately it seems that the entire financial system returns to normal gradually. Even the leverage is regaining 2007 levels. But that's the "normalcy" that led to the crisis, because although we can guess that the hedge funds are responsible for the crisis itself that it had an important role in the expansion of the bubbles and contagion from further damage. And is that as a society we do not learn.
 
 

Conclusions
But you back to this "normality" was expected. In economics there is a concept of "moral hazard" that has to do with the incentives that exist in the market and the beliefs of the agents. Today all financial actors (investors and managers especially) know the United saved from burning to entities that are in trouble and that endanger the system (and given the amount of money that move the hedge funds and banks could say that are nearly all), so this risk no actual loss. To put it another way: they know that the bill is paid by workers with adjustment plans and other measures, so they do not care not to repeat the same activities that have made them richer and richer before and after the crisis.
We can not forget that the phenomenon of hedge funds and promote financial instability and distort the market (because liberals tell me what benefits to society of naked short operations), increase inequality in several ways. On the one hand because as industry financial elites that manage these funds promote an institutional configuration such that brings in the States tax competition and prevents them from effectively control tax evasion. Following public finances are distorted and end the welfare state ends up being paid by the middle and lower classes, being the high payments outside the system. On the other hand because logically are the upper classes who benefit most from the business of collective investment funds (pension funds, mutual funds, hedge funds, etc..) And therefore grows exponentially the difference between those less by entering your salary and who increasingly enter their financial activities.
The fact is that we are headed to another huge financial crisis. And if not, at the same time