Showing posts with label rate. Show all posts
Showing posts with label rate. Show all posts

May 30, 2013

The 12 principles of value investing (Part 1)


















Bestinver has published a book that summarizes the 12 principles of management by value, with phrases and ideas of legendary managers who follow this philosophy, such as Peter Lynch, Warren Buffett, Mario Gabelli, Charlie Munger, John Templeton, John Neff, Jim Rogers, Christopher H. Browne, Walter Schloss or Francisco Garcia Paramés own. Joining them are two prominent figures Friedrich A. Von Hayek, Nobel laureate in economics and Benjamin Graham driver of investment value.
I put a short summary has been published weekly funds people, each one of these ideas:
1) The active equity is more profitable in the long term: Peter Lynch (1944), Magellan fund manager, once said that "the great advantage of investing in stocks, for those who accept the uncertainty, is the extraordinary reward for having reason. " From 1871-1992 and in spite of all bankruptcies, recessions and crises, stocks outperformed bonds in 80% of periods of 10 years and 100% of 30-year periods. Moreover, equities has resulted thirty times more profitable than bonds. The explanation is that when you buy shares you are buying a part of a business and is therefore part of its growth and expansion. "The bond investor is only the nearest source of money and the best we can hope for is to get it back with interest," says Bestinver AM on publication.
Real estate assets also increase the purchasing power of long-term investor, but not as consistent as stocks. As for raw materials, possibly the worst real asset returns over the long term due to its high cyclicality.
2) active equity is less risky in the long term: Indeed, and although it may seem paradoxical, the target equity is less risky to invest long-term, since its evolution is linked to economic growth and corporate profits . Instead government bonds depend on economic policies governments adopt q ue corresponding, often inflationary and therefore destructive of value to those "nominal assets" that do not incorporate price inflation. As an example, draws Bestinver Argentine investors. The investor in Argentine government bonds in 2001 lost 70% of their savings and have not since recovered, while the initial equity investor lost 60% in the same year and then not only recover quickly, but multiply by nine investment in five years. Moreover, the Argentine bond is approximately the same price as marked at the outset of the crisis. And, according to the manager, history is full of examples of very damaging inflationary periods for investors in all types of bonds (Argentina in 2002 and in the 80s and 90s; Russia in the 90s, Spain in the early 70, just as the U.S., or Germany in the 20s).
3) Few managers get beat market indices in the long run: Get an average annual return of over 10% that offers long-term stock market is not easy. In fact only 9% of American managers has managed to outperform the S & P 500 over 16 years (1981-1997). The fundamental reason is Bestinver is "the lack of discipline and the continuous changes of strategy they incur most fund managers", who often succumb to fads and phobias of each moment. Be true to the investment philosophy both in good and in bad times is one of the keys to obtaining a satisfactory long-term performance. History shows that the average fund manager tends to go wrong with your investment decisions and guided heavily by short-term economic forecasts. Thus, the different minima of the bag have been coinciding with maximum liquidity positions equity funds: 1970, 1974, 1982, 1987 and 1990.
4) Investment in setting produces higher returns than the indices in the long run: "All intelligent investing is value investing: buy something for less than it's worth," said Charlie Munger once (1924), vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway . Among the different schools of management, "value investing" is the only one that brings together a group of managers who manage to beat the stock market long term and consistently. According to investment firm Ibbotson Associates, value investing has overtaken from a differential growth rate of 5% since 1932.
It is estimated that the investment value concentrates only between 5% and 10% of world capitalization by 200 managers, especially in North America and investors have achieved this common philosophy beat the market long term, although each with its own strategy.
5) The volatility and liquidity of an action are not representative of the risk: Friedrich A. Von Hayek (1899-1992), once said that "Wall Street used the CAPM model and other ways to reduce the uncertainty to a quantifiable risk. But only measure what is measurable, no matter what. " Thus, the risk that an investor takes when investing in shares is not determined by the volatility that has been in the past, but by the possibility of a permanent loss of value associated with the business of the company. Thus a volatile trading does not make a firm more risky but allows the investor to buy it at a time when the alteration between value and price is higher.
Neither the size or liquidity risk is representative, because in principle it is always easier to find major differences between value and price in small companies than in blue chips, as they are less analyzed. In fact, it has been shown that small caps are more profitable than large firms in the long run, but not necessarily more risky.
6) The stock market crises are inevitable and allow a significant value creation: As John Templeton (1912-2007), philanthropist and founder of Templeton Funds Financial, "the four most dangerous words in investment history to have been: this time is different. " Although the long-term actions are most profitable assets and secure, the history of the stock market is full of dramatic episodes. The value investor has to understand that uncertainty will always be present when investing in stocks, as strong or scilaciones are inherent to the market and investment strategy based on these oscillations is a mistake in the long term. However, staying true to the investment strategy during such episodes allows a significant value creation.
In the past 40 years the equity markets have faced several oil crises, many armed conflicts, various financial scandals, bankruptcies thousand and four major stock market crash. And despite everything, the S & P has provided an average annual rate of 9.3% since. Even from the crisis of 29, in less than four years an investor would have earned a higher return than investing in Treasury bills.
In my next article I will comment the last 6 value principles.
A greeting.

May 28, 2013

How the International Monetary Fund work














To get in history, the International Monetary Fund was created in 1945 in the United States, and its main objectives are to promote international monetary cooperation, facilitate international trade, and reduce, ultimately, poverty. It also conducts economic policies international regulatory and conciliatory. It is part of the United Nations being an intergovernmental organization made up of 187 members. Headquartered in Washington DC, but has several offices around the world.
IMF Performance
  • The main objective of the International Monetary Fund is to ensure the stability of the international monetary system that allows member countries, and therefore its citizens transact with each other, which makes maintaining a stable financial system, sustainable and balanced.
  • For this, the International Monetary Fund provides funding to member countries to improve the margin of maneuver of each country in relation to its balance of payments. Between national authorities and the International Monetary Fund made an action plan, ensuring effective both for its compliance.
  • It also provides technical support and does a great job as a consultant to member countries to develop effective economic policies, for example on tax administration, monetary and exchange rate policy, supervision and regulation of banking systems and the regulations governing them.
IMF Resources
  • Currently, the countries to become members of the International Monetary Fund, quotas must deposit called "subscription fees", which are directly related to the economic capacity of the country.
  • These assessments determine the economic aid that the Fund will provide each country as well as their right to vote in decisions about regulations. Thus, the higher the contribution of a country, the more power on joint decisions and have more financial aid when tackling a crisis.
  • When a country needs financial aid, IMF gives 25% of its shares, with the country's commitment to return within a period ranging from 3 to 5 years. It is expected that the country must repay the loan as soon as possible to not leave without credit to other member countries.
  • In the past, obtaining resources from the International Monetary Fund was made by obtaining the interest on loans outstanding, which made it less effective and solvent, then opting for the model that is currently running .

What are the criteria of banks to lend














Unlike what banks and preach the good credit history of a customer is the most important when lending to this, but taking into account factors that are related to the ability to repay the loan voluntarily or necessity, and that should be very clear.

The ability to pay

The business of a credit institution not sue their debtors and keep their property in the event of default, which also usually results in losses, but to collect the amount borrowed and the interest and fees on time.
For this reason, the main criterion for granting loans is that the applicant can meet the periodic installments. Generally, in the case of mortgages, the monthly fee should not exceed 35% of the borrower's monthly income and your household.
If it is a loan in the medium or long term, banks and fixing the type of employment contract that the customer has, in addition to the strength of the employer. If this does not convince them, may require hiring a payment protection insurance, for example.

The warranty

Second, to ensure that in case of default can recover the borrowed capital and interest, the guarantee granted is very important. If it comes to purchasing a home, precisely the mortgage on the property is essential because the loan shall not exceed 80% of the valuation of this.
In other cases, especially whether to grant loans for amounts higher or long periods, you may require the financial institution, for example, the guarantor, that is, someone other than the client is committed to your estate to pay the debt if it does not comply.
It is also usual for the agency credit loans is fixed in current assets of the applicant, that is, both money and other personal property such as stocks or jewelry that may eventually be left with the first, as a garment, and use it to collect the debt.

May 22, 2013

How to negotiate with the bank's best interest rate














If getting a loan is in itself complicated, get a good interest rate may seem impossible. However, if you follow certain trading strategies, the results will be more profitable than those which have been finalized to not use them.Trading ResourcesTo get a good interest rate is necessary to have two tools that support robust negotiation otherwise the lender will not even bother to raise a possible downgrade. It is important to feel in a position strong enough to require a modification of the standard conditions.
The first of them is to have a good credit history and be customer for several years. In this case the bank does not lose the customer interested and can offer good rates, in fact, experience shows that once a borrower has a loan with an institution, the tendency is to take it both accounts as the other products .
Additionally, it is critical information in advance, asking for contributions to various lending institutions, preferably in writing, about the interest rate they offer. Only in this way you can tell if the rate you are offering the bank concerned is outside of the standard in the market and if it is reasonable to request a rebate.LinkagesOne of the mechanisms currently used by lending institutions to lower the normal interest rate is called bonding, which is to ask the client to hire some additional products and maintain during the term of repayment of the loan.
Within these there is the payroll debit and utility bills, such as electricity, water, telephone and gas contracting life insurance and payment protection, hiring credit cards, and plans pensions and savings.
It is important to analyze how many basis points interest rate cut each product and determining whether compensated hire and if you are able to keep. In the case of savings funds, for example, the borrower is obliged to make monthly contributions.