Bestinver has published a book that summarizes the 12 principles of management by value, with phrases and ideas of legendary managers who follow this philosophy, such as Peter Lynch, Warren Buffett, Mario Gabelli, Charlie Munger, John Templeton, John Neff, Jim Rogers, Christopher H. Browne, Walter Schloss or Francisco Garcia Paramés own. Joining them are two prominent figures Friedrich A. Von Hayek, Nobel laureate in economics and Benjamin Graham driver of investment value.
I put a short summary has been published weekly funds people, each one of these ideas:
1) The active equity is more profitable in the long term: Peter Lynch (1944), Magellan fund manager, once said that "the great advantage of investing in stocks, for those who accept the uncertainty, is the extraordinary reward for having reason. " From 1871-1992 and in spite of all bankruptcies, recessions and crises, stocks outperformed bonds in 80% of periods of 10 years and 100% of 30-year periods. Moreover, equities has resulted thirty times more profitable than bonds. The explanation is that when you buy shares you are buying a part of a business and is therefore part of its growth and expansion. "The bond investor is only the nearest source of money and the best we can hope for is to get it back with interest," says Bestinver AM on publication.
Real estate assets also increase the purchasing power of long-term investor, but not as consistent as stocks. As for raw materials, possibly the worst real asset returns over the long term due to its high cyclicality.
2) active equity is less risky in the long term: Indeed, and although it may seem paradoxical, the target equity is less risky to invest long-term, since its evolution is linked to economic growth and corporate profits . Instead government bonds depend on economic policies governments adopt q ue corresponding, often inflationary and therefore destructive of value to those "nominal assets" that do not incorporate price inflation. As an example, draws Bestinver Argentine investors. The investor in Argentine government bonds in 2001 lost 70% of their savings and have not since recovered, while the initial equity investor lost 60% in the same year and then not only recover quickly, but multiply by nine investment in five years. Moreover, the Argentine bond is approximately the same price as marked at the outset of the crisis. And, according to the manager, history is full of examples of very damaging inflationary periods for investors in all types of bonds (Argentina in 2002 and in the 80s and 90s; Russia in the 90s, Spain in the early 70, just as the U.S., or Germany in the 20s).
3) Few managers get beat market indices in the long run: Get an average annual return of over 10% that offers long-term stock market is not easy. In fact only 9% of American managers has managed to outperform the S & P 500 over 16 years (1981-1997). The fundamental reason is Bestinver is "the lack of discipline and the continuous changes of strategy they incur most fund managers", who often succumb to fads and phobias of each moment. Be true to the investment philosophy both in good and in bad times is one of the keys to obtaining a satisfactory long-term performance. History shows that the average fund manager tends to go wrong with your investment decisions and guided heavily by short-term economic forecasts. Thus, the different minima of the bag have been coinciding with maximum liquidity positions equity funds: 1970, 1974, 1982, 1987 and 1990.
4) Investment in setting produces higher returns than the indices in the long run: "All intelligent investing is value investing: buy something for less than it's worth," said Charlie Munger once (1924), vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway . Among the different schools of management, "value investing" is the only one that brings together a group of managers who manage to beat the stock market long term and consistently. According to investment firm Ibbotson Associates, value investing has overtaken from a differential growth rate of 5% since 1932.
It is estimated that the investment value concentrates only between 5% and 10% of world capitalization by 200 managers, especially in North America and investors have achieved this common philosophy beat the market long term, although each with its own strategy.
5) The volatility and liquidity of an action are not representative of the risk: Friedrich A. Von Hayek (1899-1992), once said that "Wall Street used the CAPM model and other ways to reduce the uncertainty to a quantifiable risk. But only measure what is measurable, no matter what. " Thus, the risk that an investor takes when investing in shares is not determined by the volatility that has been in the past, but by the possibility of a permanent loss of value associated with the business of the company. Thus a volatile trading does not make a firm more risky but allows the investor to buy it at a time when the alteration between value and price is higher.
Neither the size or liquidity risk is representative, because in principle it is always easier to find major differences between value and price in small companies than in blue chips, as they are less analyzed. In fact, it has been shown that small caps are more profitable than large firms in the long run, but not necessarily more risky.
6) The stock market crises are inevitable and allow a significant value creation: As John Templeton (1912-2007), philanthropist and founder of Templeton Funds Financial, "the four most dangerous words in investment history to have been: this time is different. " Although the long-term actions are most profitable assets and secure, the history of the stock market is full of dramatic episodes. The value investor has to understand that uncertainty will always be present when investing in stocks, as strong or scilaciones are inherent to the market and investment strategy based on these oscillations is a mistake in the long term. However, staying true to the investment strategy during such episodes allows a significant value creation.
In the past 40 years the equity markets have faced several oil crises, many armed conflicts, various financial scandals, bankruptcies thousand and four major stock market crash. And despite everything, the S & P has provided an average annual rate of 9.3% since. Even from the crisis of 29, in less than four years an investor would have earned a higher return than investing in Treasury bills.
In my next article I will comment the last 6 value principles.
A greeting.
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